午盘收盘,国内期货主力合约涨跌不一。沪锡涨超4%,氧化铝、沪锌、沪铅涨超3%,沪镍、燃料油涨超2%,玉米、棉花、生猪、棕榈油涨超1%;跌幅方面大牛在线配资,集运欧线跌超4%,工业硅跌超3%,碳酸锂跌超2%,PVC、焦炭、硅铁、鸡蛋跌超1%。
衰退交易降温,锡价迎风而起
经历了近一周的低迷行情后,有色金属在周四晚间企稳反弹,并于周五日盘进一步放大涨幅,沪锡涨幅居前。
宏观角度来看,昨晚美国至8月3日当周初请失业金人数录得23.3万人,低于预期的24万人,降幅创近一年最大,缓解了市场对美国的衰退担忧,反映流动性风险的指标也同步回落,有色板块情绪回暖。同时,美股主要股指全线上涨,“科技七姐妹”集体回升,费城半导体指数大幅走高,芯片概念的走强也对沪锡起到了较强的提振作用。
基本面角度来看,供给端缅甸迟迟无法复产的影响正在逐渐淡化,市场更加关注国内需求。在国内库存在连续3周大幅去库之后,随着进口的增加与下游建立投机性库存意愿的下降,预计锡去库幅度或将放缓。
在旺季来临前,沪锡或延续供需双弱的格局,基本面矛盾较为平淡,对价格的驱动力依旧弱于宏观。短期以反弹来对待,后续可结合美国经济数据及资金增仓情况判断上涨后劲。
以色列将派出谈判小组敲定加沙停火及人员交换协议细节
以色列总理官方账号在社交媒体上表示,根据美国和其他调解方的提议大牛在线配资,以色列将于8月15日派出谈判小组前往待定地点,以敲定加沙地带停火和人员交换框架协议的实施细节。(央视新闻)
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